The bathtub theorem in Economics set forth the analogy that national income of any country may be understood as water in a bathtub and exports are one of the major water injections that raise the water level. Applying this theory on Pakistan economy, it is blatant that we are experiencing the contractionary effect which in bathtub terms means injections are less than the pulling outs. Our much reliance on imports causing leakages and less capacity or capability to exports is not making significant additions.
The Significance of International Trade
The significance for developing economies such as Pakistan, trade cannot be undermined. Wisely developed and focused trade policies has benefitted a number of economies as it has miraculous impact on private sector development, in employment, further innovation, introducing technological advancements and technical exchanges, quality in the products and process, improving good will in the international arena. Tremendously progressive economies of Asia such as South Korea and its fellow “dragons,” Singapore, Taiwan, and Hong Kong) are the only developing countries that are developing in real terms with moderate inflation, low unemployment, an export surplus and fairly equal distribution of income. What madekes the base of this shift? The transition beganins with a focus on foreign trade which resulted in the boom. I wonder what impels some of hus to argue these economies cannot teach us much as Pakistan experience is hardly relevant!,,!. However, the diverse examples and experiences can help us giving a direction what works and what doesn’t work.
A recent report by PRIME, tracking the progress made on the economic revival manifesto presented by PMLN Government in the June 2013 suggest that we under performed and remained worst in trade and industrial performance. The promises regarding the establishment of industrial clusters, energy requirement is still promise yet to be materialised. Whereas Pakistan international trade is suffering from huge amount of deficit due to low demand for its export or where there is demand, the incapacity to meet the demand and non-fulfilment of the international orders has shaken the trust of international buyer, which in the age of big and strong level of global competition poses a serious threat. One of the key reasons is internal political turmoil and instability. Let’s assume it doesn’t hurt the local businesses and does not eat up much of the public funds which may alternatively had been spent on constructive things, still it hurts our image and still we portray ourselves as aggravating , corrupt and out of control nation.
Measuring such as the maximizinges the tariffs from 20% -25% to the 30%-35% on luxury items would not work for long as long local manufacturing has not be strengthened. Considering the highest incomes disparities in Pakistan, Luxurious items would still remain in use. Interestingly the rich have become richer both locally and internationally so the demand for luxury items are inelastic.elSticelasticity of demand
Do the international Collaborations but do it for overcoming the failure such as in exploring and exploiting Pakistan’s own oil and gas resources, Alternative energy is becoming a growing focus around the meet the growing energy demands in the country.
Some of the other useful strategies in overcoming energy issues faced by export based industry include.
Overcoming Energy Crises:
Providing Subsidies to promote all the alternate energy solutions
Give tax relief to the industries introducing alternative energy solutions and becoming self-sufficient in their energy usage and provide subsidies on the import of Solar panels should be subsidized. Unless energy issues are resolved, our production capacity cannot expand.
Pakistan should seek Technical support from international partners in projects such as converting waste to power. Any research, related to technology or technique that business can benefit from, should be “purchased” so to be used by the wider community.
Product Diversification and Quality Sensitivity
Pakistan has made fewer items in its basket as exportable and no serious efforts have yet been made to explore where we can expand. Pakistan Foreign Mission abroad must be assigned with the responsibility of updating the local exporters, chambers and business associations regarding the demands of particular commodities whereas foreign ministry must compile the products and markets with high potential of Exports.
Another blemish on exports is the Product Quality. Exportable items must have thorough quality check and assessment as your products speaks loud about how you keep the commitments.
Tax based Measures
Government needs to provide a reasonable Taxation relief for a definite period of time to export based industries either small scale or big manufacturing units if they have just started their operations.
This is in particular important for sick industrial units. There is an immediate need for the revival of these closed units and revitalizing them to contribute to the national exchequer. Government should immediately declare them as tax free units. This does not mean government would cut the source of its revenue. Already they are not making anything out of deceased units. Their revival means other revenue sources such as more income tax from job holders, sales taxes from their consumption would come.
FDI in Manufacturing Sector.
Our immediate neighbor India is playing all cards to entice foreign investment in the Manufacturing sector. This is apparent in Moody’s Government new Venture “Make in India”, campaign to attract investor around the world. This strategy would not only generate employment within the country but would build country’s export potential, availability of Import subsidies and technological advancement inevitably. It’s an essential in India to set up a manufacturing plant or assembling unit of any product if you wish to enter in Indian economy. Benefit the India, if you are taking benefit from large consumer base in India with the availability of cheaper labor. These practices need to be replicated in Pakistan too.
Infant industries should be exempted from tax for at least a period of three years just as China Cut taxes on small firms. China will also extend tax provisions granted to small businesses into 2016
The import for the purpose of setting up a factory, an industry or any sort of business should be heavily subsidized. E.g. a plant or machinery required to start a factory and these subsidies must gaudily and meticulously communicated to the investors groups and business community.
Government department itself should set examples by making purchases from local brands so as maximize their revenue and possibility of investment into business expansion.
Capacity Improvement Measures
Creating Branding awareness amongst the export based industries may prove to be lifeblood for standing long and serving the international competition. Such programs must be initiated by Small and Medium Enterprise Development Authority, Trade Development Authority, and training departments of Ministry of Commerce. More the Businesses would know significance of branding in International selling, the better are the chances of stirring quality consciousness.
Trainings should be initiated for small traders and small businessmen so that they know how their counterparts are doing business in other countries
Interest-free loans to small and medium industries e.g. specially those making goods with exports potentials such as toy manufacturing, marble factories , artificial Jewellery and handcrafts. Knowing that Small and mid-sized manufacturers are central to regional economic growth and innovation and that they face unique challenges in deploying advanced manufacturing technologies, through new programs such as Manufacturing Technology Acceleration Centers, manufacturers can expand their efforts to strengthen the competitive position of small and mid-sized businesses.
Farmers and Agricultural Entrepreneurship should be promoted as our quality and quantity ultimately depends on what we produce as an agriculturist economy.
It is important that Pakistan`s structural problems, systematic flaws and commitment to the promises are addressed on priority. A fresh approach to improvise on trade diplomacy, sincere efforts to minimize the conflicts and a focused approach toward trade and industrial revival are the foundations where any strategies can work.